Preface. Section 1: Productivity and the macroeconomy. 1. Productivity and the new economy; E.M. Gramlich. 2. Will the recovered economy still be a new economy?; A.M. Rivlin. Section 2: Productivity Growth and Technology: What the Future Holds. 3. Projecting productivity growth: lessons from the U.S. growth resurgence; D.W. Jorgenson, Mun. S. Ho, K.J. Stiroh. 4. Information technology and productivity: where are we now and where are we going?; S.D. Oliner, D.E. Sichel. 5. A discussion of productivity growth and technology; J. fernald. Section 3: Skill-biased Technological Change and Wage Inequality. 6. Skill demand, inequality, and computerization: connecting the dots; D.H. Autor, F. Levy, R.J. Murnane. 7. Technology and U.S. wage inequality: a brief look;D. Card, J.E. DiNardo. 8. A discussion of skill-biased technological change and wage inequality; D.K. Ginther. Section 4: Technology and Productivity in the Firm. 9. Wages, productivity and technology: what have we learned from micro evidence for U.S. manufacturing?; J. Haltiwanger. 10. A discussion of technology and productivity in the firm; R.A. eisenbeis. 11. Productivity, computerization, and skill change; E.N. Wolff. 12. Technology shocks and problem-solving capacity; K. Shaw. 13. A discussion of technology and productivityin the firm; P. Stephan. Conference Participant Biographies. Index.
Technology, Growth, and the Labor Market brings together research by economists from academia and the Federal Reserve System. The first section of the volume includes discussions by monetary policymakers with firsthand experience in determining how technology affects productivity, inequality, and macroeconomic growth. Papers in the second section discuss the sources of the surge in labor productivity growth during the latter half of the 1990s and present forecasts of labor productivity growth rates during the next few years. In the third section, the papers focus on the role of technological advances in changes in earnings inequality in the labor market. The authors examine whether inequality should be viewed as a causal result of skill-biased technological change or whether there is a missing link - or perhaps no link - between changes in technology and changes in wage inequality. The final section explores the relationships between computer investment, worker skills, human resource practices, and productivity at the industry and firm levels.
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